Research

Models, numerical methods and financial decisions.

Selected work across derivative valuation, stochastic simulation, commodity markets and portfolio analytics.

Areas of work

Research themes

Financial engineering and numerical methods

Simulation, transform methods and efficient derivative valuation.

Energy and commodity markets

Commodity price models, calendar spreads and energy derivatives.

Portfolio analytics

Covariance, portfolio selection and risk measurement.

Credit and counterparty risk

Default risk, credit valuation adjustment and model risk.

Selected work

Publications

  1. 2026

    Navigating Supply Shocks: Sector Resilience and Production Prices Through Stochastic Input–Output Modeling

    Giovanni Amici, Gianluca Fusai, Anna Maria Gambaro and Daniele Marazzina

    Mathematical Finance, 36(4), 826-845.

    A stochastic input-output framework for studying supply shocks, sector resilience and production prices.

    DOI: 10.1111/mafi.70029
  2. 2025

    Energy commodities and calendar spread options

    Carme Frau, Gianluca Fusai and Ioannis Kyriakou

    Energy Economics, 151, Article 108809.

    A framework for pricing calendar spread options under affine models with stochastic volatility and jumps.

    DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108809
  3. 2024

    Unified Moment-Based Modeling of Integrated Stochastic Processes

    Ioannis Kyriakou, Riccardo Brignone and Gianluca Fusai

    Operations Research, 72(4), 1630-1653.

    A moment-based method for simulating time integrals of stochastic processes conditional on their endpoint values.

    Published in the 2024 issue; first published online in 2023.

    DOI: 10.1287/opre.2022.2422
  4. 2024

    Converting a covariance matrix from local currencies to a common currency

    Gianluca Fusai, Domenico Mignacca and Khalifa Al-Thani

    The Journal of Risk, 26(6).

    A matrix-based conversion of log-return covariances across currency denominations.

    DOI: 10.21314/jor.2024.009
  5. 2016

    General Optimized Lower and Upper Bounds for Discrete and Continuous Arithmetic Asian Options

    Gianluca Fusai and Ioannis Kyriakou

    Mathematics of Operations Research, 41(2), 531-559.

    Optimized lower bounds and error bounds for arithmetic Asian option valuation across a broad range of models.

    DOI: 10.1287/moor.2015.0739

This is a selected list. Follow the DOI links to the publisher records, or browse the full publication list and working papers above.